Preprints
Model-based analysis of experimental hut data elucidates multifaceted effects of a volatile chemical on Aedes aegypti mosquitoes
ten Bosch, Q.A., F. Castro-Llanos, H. Manda, A.C. Morrison, J.P. Grieco, N.L. Achee, T.A. Perkins
bioRxiv dog:10.1101/164293
html | pdf. | code
Statistical and biological uncertainties associated with vaccine efficacy estimates and their implications for dengue vaccine impact projections
Perkins, T.A., R.C. Reiner, Q.A. ten Bosch, G. España, A. Verma, K. Liebman, V.A. Paz-Soldan, J.P. Elder, A.C. Morrison, S.T. Stoddard, U. Kitron, G.M. Vazquez-Prokopec, T.W. Scott, D.L. Smith
bioRxiv doi:10.1101/082396
html | pdf
2017
Temperature modulates dengue virus epidemic growth rates through its effects on reproduction numbers and generation intervals
Siraj, A.S., R.J. Oidtman, J.H. Huber, M.U.G. Kraemer, O.J. Brady, M.A. Johansson, T.A. Perkins
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases in press
Assessing the population at risk of Zika virus in Asia - is the emergency really over?
Siraj, A.S., T.A. Perkins
BMJ Global Health in press
Retracing Zika's footsteps across the Americas with computational modeling
Perkins, T.A.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114:5558-5560
html | pdf
2016
The long-term safety, public health impact, and cost-effectiveness of routine vaccination with a recombinant, live-attenuated dengue vaccine (Dengvaxia): A model comparison study
Flasche, S.*, M. Jit*, I. Rodriguez-Barraquer*, L. Coudeville*, M. Recker*, K. Koelle*, G. Milne*, T.J. Hladish*, T.A. Perkins*, D.A.T. Cummings, I. Dorigatti, D.J. Laydon, G. España, J. Kelso, I. Longini, J. Lourenco, C.A.B. Pearson, R.C. Reiner, L. Mier-y-Teran-Romero, K. Vannice, N. Ferguson
PLOS Medicine 13:e1002181
html | pdf | commentary
Pokemon Go and exposure to mosquito-borne diseases: How not to catch 'em all
Oidtman, R.J., R.C. Christofferson, Q.A. ten Bosch, G. España, M.U.G. Kraemer, A.J. Tatem, C.M. Barker, T.A. Perkins
PLOS Currents Outbreaks
html
Quantitative, model-based estimates of variability in the generation and serial intervals of Plasmodium falciparum malaria
Huber, J.H., G.L. Johnston, B. Greenhouse, D.L. Smith, T.A. Perkins
Malaria Journal 15:490
html | pdf | code
After the games are over: life-history trade-offs drive dispersal attenuation following range expansion
Perkins, T.A., C. Boettiger, B.L. Phillips
Ecology and Evolution doi:10.1002/ece3.2314
html | pdf | code
Model-based projections of Zika virus infections in childbearing women in the Americas
Perkins, T.A., A.S. Siraj, C. Warren Ruktanonchai, M.U.G. Kraemer, A.J. Tatem
Nature Microbiology 1:16126
html | pdf | code
Calling in sick: impacts of fever on intra-urban human mobility
Perkins, T.A., V.A. Paz Soldan, S.T. Stoddard, A.C. Morrison, B.M. Forshey, K.C. Long, E.S. Halsey, T.J. Kochel, J.P. Elder, U. Kitron, T.W. Scott, G.M. Vazquez-Prokopec
Proceedings of the Royal Society B 283:20160390
html | pdf | code | data
Quantifying the epidemiological impact of vector control on dengue
Reiner, R. C., N. Achee, R. Barrera, T.R. Burkot, D.D. Chadee, G. Devine, T. Endy, D. Gubler, J. Homback, I. Kleinschmidt, A. Lenhart, S. Lindsay, I. Longini, M. Mondy, A.C. Morrison, T.A. Perkins, G.M. Vazquez-Prokopec, P. Reiter, S. Ritchie, D.L. Smith, D. Strickman, T.W. Scott
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 10:e0004588
html | pdf
Coupled heterogeneities and their impact on parasite transmission and control
Vazquez-Prokopeck, G.M., T.A. Perkins, L.A. Waller, A.L. Lloyd, R.C. Reiner, T.W. Scott, U. Kitron
Trends in Parasitology 32:356-367
html | pdf
Vectorial capacity and vector control: reconsidering sensitivity to parameters for malaria elimination
Brady, O.J., H.C.J. Godfray, A.J. Tatem, P.W. Gething, J.M. Cohen, F.E. McKenzie, T.A. Perkins, R.C. Reiner, L.S. Tusting, M.E. Sinka, C.L. Moyes, P.A. Eckhoff, T.W. Scott, S.W. Lindsay, S.I. Hay, D.L. Smith
Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 110:107-117
html | pdf
2015
Mapping residual transmission for malaria elimination
Reiner, R.C., A. Le Menach, S. Kunene, N. Ntshalintshali, M. Hsiang, T.A. Perkins, B. Greenhouse, A.J. Tatem, J.M. Cohen, D.L. Smith
eLife 4:e09520
html | pdf
Big city, small world: density, contact rates, and transmission of dengue across Pakistan
Kraemer, M.U.G., T.A. Perkins, D.A.T. Cummings, R. Zakar, S.I. Hay, D.L. Smith, R.C. Reiner
Journal of the Royal Society Interface 12:20150468
html | pdf
A critical assessment of vector control for dengue prevention
Achee, N.L., F. Gould, T.A. Perkins, R.C. Reiner, A.C. Morrison, S.A. Ritchie, D.J. Gubler, R. Teyssou, T.W. Scott
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 9:e0003655
html | pdf
The changing epidemiology of dengue in China, 1990-2014: a descriptive analysis of 25 years of nationwide surveillance data
Lai, S., Z. Huang, H. Zhou, K.L. Anders, T.A. Perkins, W. Yin, Y. Li, D. Mu, Q. Chen, Z. Zhang, Y. Qiu, L. Wang, H. Zhang, L. Zeng, X. Ren, M. Geng, Z. Li, A.J. Tatem, S.I. Hay, H. Yu
BMC Medicine 13:100
html | pdf | commentary
Adult vector control, mosquito ecology, and malaria transmission
Brady, O.J., H.C.J. Godfray, A.J. Tatem, P.W. Gething, J.M. Cohen, F.E. McKenzie, T.A. Perkins, R.C. Reiner, L.S. Tusting, T.W. Scott, S.W. Lindsay, S.I. Hay, D.L. Smith
International Health 7:121-129
html | pdf
Estimating drivers of autochthonous transmission of chikungunya virus in its invasion of the Americas
Perkins, T.A., C.J.E. Metcalf, B.T. Grenfell, A.J. Tatem
PLOS Currents Outbreaks
html
2014
Theory and data for simulating fine-scale human movement in an urban environment
Perkins, T.A., A.J. Garcia, V.A. Paz Soldan, S.T. Stoddard, R.C. Reiner, G.M. Vazquez-Prokopec, D. Bisanzio, E.S. Halsey, T.J. Kochel, A.C. Morrison, D.L. Smith, T.W. Scott, A.J. Tatem
Journal of the Royal Society Interface 11:20140642
html | pdf | code
A review of transmission models of dengue: a quantitative and qualitative analysis of model features
Perkins, T.A.*, R.C. Reiner*, I. Rodriguez-Barraquer, D.L. Smith, T.W. Scott, D.A.T. Cummings
In: Dengue and Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever, eds. D.J. Gubler, E.E. Ooi, and J. Farrar. CABI Publishing
*denotes equal contributions
publisher website
A global assembly of adult female mosquito mark-release-recapture data to inform the control of mosquito-borne pathogens
Guerra, C.A., R.C. Reiner, T.A. Perkins, S.W. Lindsay, J.T. Midega, O.J. Brady, C.M. Barker, W.K. Reisen, L.C. Harrington, W. Takken, U. Kitron, A.L. Lloyd, S.I. Hay, T.W. Scott, D.L. Smith
Parasites and Vectors 7:276
html
Evolutionary dynamics of West Nile virus in Georgia, 2001-2011
Phillips, J.E., D. Stallknecht, T.A. Perkins, N. McClure, D. Mead
Virus Genes 49:132-136
html
Recasting the theory of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission dynamics and control
Smith, D.L., T.A. Perkins, R.C. Reiner, C.M. Barker, T. Niu, L.F. Chaves, A.M. Ellis, D.B. George, A. Le Menach, J.R.C. Pulliam, D. Bisanzio, C. Buckee, C. Chiyaka, D.A.T. Cummings, A.J. Garcia, M.L. Gatton, P.W. Gething, D.M. Hartley, G. Johnston, E.Y. Klein, E. Michael, A.L. Lloyd, D.M. Pigott, W.K. Reisen, N. Ruktanonchai, B.K. Singh, J. Stoller, A.J. Tatem, U. Kitron, H.C.J. Godfray, J.M. Cohen, S.I Hay, T.W. Scott
Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 108:185-197
html | pdf
Heterogeneous blood feeding patterns of Aedes aegypti in Iquitos, Peru
Liebman, K.A., S.T. Stoddard, R.C. Reiner, T.A. Perkins, H. Astete, M. Sihuincha, E.S. Halsey, T.J. Kochel, A.C. Morrison, T.W. Scott
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 8:e2702
html | pdf
2013
Heterogeneity, mixing, and the spatial scales of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission
Perkins, T.A., T.W. Scott, A. Le Menach, D.L. Smith
PLOS Computational Biology 9:e1003327
html | pdf | code
Mosquito population regulation and larval source management in heterogeneous environments
Smith, D.L., T.A. Perkins, L.S. Tusting, T.W. Scott, S.W. Lindsay
PLOS One 8:e71247
html | pdf
A systematic review of mathematical models of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission: 1970-2010
Reiner, R.C.*, T.A. Perkins*, C.M. Barker, T. Niu, L.F. Chaves, A.M. Ellis, D.B. George, A. Le Menach, J.R.C. Pulliam, D. Bisanzio, C. Buckee, C. Chiyaka, D.A.T. Cummings, A.J. Garcia, M.L. Gatton, P.W. Gething, D.M. Hartley, G. Johnston, E.Y. Klein, E. Michael, S.W. Lindsay, A.L. Lloyd, D.M. Pigott, W.K. Reisen, N. Ruktanonchai, B.K. Singh, A.J. Tatem, U. Kitron, S.I Hay, T.W. Scott, D.L. Smith
Journal of the Royal Society Interface 10:20120921
*denotes equal contributions
html | pdf
Evolution of dispersal and life history interact to drive accelerating spread of an invasive species
Perkins, T.A., B.L. Phillips, M.L. Baskett, A. Hastings
Ecology Letters 16:1079-1087
html | pdf
2012 and before
Evolutionarily labile species interactions and spatial spread of invasive species
Perkins, T.A
American Naturalist 179:E37-E54
html | pdf
Falling behind: delayed growth explains life-history variation in Snake River fall Chinook salmon
Perkins, T.A., H.I. Jager
Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 140:959-972
html | pdf
Multi-species interactions in competitive hierarchies: new methods and empirical test
Perkins, T.A., W.R. Holmes, J.F. Weltzin
Journal of Vegetation Science 18:685-692
html | pdf
Interactions between the social spider Anelosimus studiosus (Araneae, Theridiidae) and foreign spiders that frequent its nests
Perkins, T.A., S.E. Riechert, T.C. Jones
Journal of Arachnology 35:143-152
html | pdf
Model-based analysis of experimental hut data elucidates multifaceted effects of a volatile chemical on Aedes aegypti mosquitoes
ten Bosch, Q.A., F. Castro-Llanos, H. Manda, A.C. Morrison, J.P. Grieco, N.L. Achee, T.A. Perkins
bioRxiv dog:10.1101/164293
html | pdf. | code
Statistical and biological uncertainties associated with vaccine efficacy estimates and their implications for dengue vaccine impact projections
Perkins, T.A., R.C. Reiner, Q.A. ten Bosch, G. España, A. Verma, K. Liebman, V.A. Paz-Soldan, J.P. Elder, A.C. Morrison, S.T. Stoddard, U. Kitron, G.M. Vazquez-Prokopec, T.W. Scott, D.L. Smith
bioRxiv doi:10.1101/082396
html | pdf
2017
Temperature modulates dengue virus epidemic growth rates through its effects on reproduction numbers and generation intervals
Siraj, A.S., R.J. Oidtman, J.H. Huber, M.U.G. Kraemer, O.J. Brady, M.A. Johansson, T.A. Perkins
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases in press
Assessing the population at risk of Zika virus in Asia - is the emergency really over?
Siraj, A.S., T.A. Perkins
BMJ Global Health in press
Retracing Zika's footsteps across the Americas with computational modeling
Perkins, T.A.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114:5558-5560
html | pdf
2016
The long-term safety, public health impact, and cost-effectiveness of routine vaccination with a recombinant, live-attenuated dengue vaccine (Dengvaxia): A model comparison study
Flasche, S.*, M. Jit*, I. Rodriguez-Barraquer*, L. Coudeville*, M. Recker*, K. Koelle*, G. Milne*, T.J. Hladish*, T.A. Perkins*, D.A.T. Cummings, I. Dorigatti, D.J. Laydon, G. España, J. Kelso, I. Longini, J. Lourenco, C.A.B. Pearson, R.C. Reiner, L. Mier-y-Teran-Romero, K. Vannice, N. Ferguson
PLOS Medicine 13:e1002181
html | pdf | commentary
Pokemon Go and exposure to mosquito-borne diseases: How not to catch 'em all
Oidtman, R.J., R.C. Christofferson, Q.A. ten Bosch, G. España, M.U.G. Kraemer, A.J. Tatem, C.M. Barker, T.A. Perkins
PLOS Currents Outbreaks
html
Quantitative, model-based estimates of variability in the generation and serial intervals of Plasmodium falciparum malaria
Huber, J.H., G.L. Johnston, B. Greenhouse, D.L. Smith, T.A. Perkins
Malaria Journal 15:490
html | pdf | code
After the games are over: life-history trade-offs drive dispersal attenuation following range expansion
Perkins, T.A., C. Boettiger, B.L. Phillips
Ecology and Evolution doi:10.1002/ece3.2314
html | pdf | code
Model-based projections of Zika virus infections in childbearing women in the Americas
Perkins, T.A., A.S. Siraj, C. Warren Ruktanonchai, M.U.G. Kraemer, A.J. Tatem
Nature Microbiology 1:16126
html | pdf | code
Calling in sick: impacts of fever on intra-urban human mobility
Perkins, T.A., V.A. Paz Soldan, S.T. Stoddard, A.C. Morrison, B.M. Forshey, K.C. Long, E.S. Halsey, T.J. Kochel, J.P. Elder, U. Kitron, T.W. Scott, G.M. Vazquez-Prokopec
Proceedings of the Royal Society B 283:20160390
html | pdf | code | data
Quantifying the epidemiological impact of vector control on dengue
Reiner, R. C., N. Achee, R. Barrera, T.R. Burkot, D.D. Chadee, G. Devine, T. Endy, D. Gubler, J. Homback, I. Kleinschmidt, A. Lenhart, S. Lindsay, I. Longini, M. Mondy, A.C. Morrison, T.A. Perkins, G.M. Vazquez-Prokopec, P. Reiter, S. Ritchie, D.L. Smith, D. Strickman, T.W. Scott
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 10:e0004588
html | pdf
Coupled heterogeneities and their impact on parasite transmission and control
Vazquez-Prokopeck, G.M., T.A. Perkins, L.A. Waller, A.L. Lloyd, R.C. Reiner, T.W. Scott, U. Kitron
Trends in Parasitology 32:356-367
html | pdf
Vectorial capacity and vector control: reconsidering sensitivity to parameters for malaria elimination
Brady, O.J., H.C.J. Godfray, A.J. Tatem, P.W. Gething, J.M. Cohen, F.E. McKenzie, T.A. Perkins, R.C. Reiner, L.S. Tusting, M.E. Sinka, C.L. Moyes, P.A. Eckhoff, T.W. Scott, S.W. Lindsay, S.I. Hay, D.L. Smith
Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 110:107-117
html | pdf
2015
Mapping residual transmission for malaria elimination
Reiner, R.C., A. Le Menach, S. Kunene, N. Ntshalintshali, M. Hsiang, T.A. Perkins, B. Greenhouse, A.J. Tatem, J.M. Cohen, D.L. Smith
eLife 4:e09520
html | pdf
Big city, small world: density, contact rates, and transmission of dengue across Pakistan
Kraemer, M.U.G., T.A. Perkins, D.A.T. Cummings, R. Zakar, S.I. Hay, D.L. Smith, R.C. Reiner
Journal of the Royal Society Interface 12:20150468
html | pdf
A critical assessment of vector control for dengue prevention
Achee, N.L., F. Gould, T.A. Perkins, R.C. Reiner, A.C. Morrison, S.A. Ritchie, D.J. Gubler, R. Teyssou, T.W. Scott
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 9:e0003655
html | pdf
The changing epidemiology of dengue in China, 1990-2014: a descriptive analysis of 25 years of nationwide surveillance data
Lai, S., Z. Huang, H. Zhou, K.L. Anders, T.A. Perkins, W. Yin, Y. Li, D. Mu, Q. Chen, Z. Zhang, Y. Qiu, L. Wang, H. Zhang, L. Zeng, X. Ren, M. Geng, Z. Li, A.J. Tatem, S.I. Hay, H. Yu
BMC Medicine 13:100
html | pdf | commentary
Adult vector control, mosquito ecology, and malaria transmission
Brady, O.J., H.C.J. Godfray, A.J. Tatem, P.W. Gething, J.M. Cohen, F.E. McKenzie, T.A. Perkins, R.C. Reiner, L.S. Tusting, T.W. Scott, S.W. Lindsay, S.I. Hay, D.L. Smith
International Health 7:121-129
html | pdf
Estimating drivers of autochthonous transmission of chikungunya virus in its invasion of the Americas
Perkins, T.A., C.J.E. Metcalf, B.T. Grenfell, A.J. Tatem
PLOS Currents Outbreaks
html
2014
Theory and data for simulating fine-scale human movement in an urban environment
Perkins, T.A., A.J. Garcia, V.A. Paz Soldan, S.T. Stoddard, R.C. Reiner, G.M. Vazquez-Prokopec, D. Bisanzio, E.S. Halsey, T.J. Kochel, A.C. Morrison, D.L. Smith, T.W. Scott, A.J. Tatem
Journal of the Royal Society Interface 11:20140642
html | pdf | code
A review of transmission models of dengue: a quantitative and qualitative analysis of model features
Perkins, T.A.*, R.C. Reiner*, I. Rodriguez-Barraquer, D.L. Smith, T.W. Scott, D.A.T. Cummings
In: Dengue and Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever, eds. D.J. Gubler, E.E. Ooi, and J. Farrar. CABI Publishing
*denotes equal contributions
publisher website
A global assembly of adult female mosquito mark-release-recapture data to inform the control of mosquito-borne pathogens
Guerra, C.A., R.C. Reiner, T.A. Perkins, S.W. Lindsay, J.T. Midega, O.J. Brady, C.M. Barker, W.K. Reisen, L.C. Harrington, W. Takken, U. Kitron, A.L. Lloyd, S.I. Hay, T.W. Scott, D.L. Smith
Parasites and Vectors 7:276
html
Evolutionary dynamics of West Nile virus in Georgia, 2001-2011
Phillips, J.E., D. Stallknecht, T.A. Perkins, N. McClure, D. Mead
Virus Genes 49:132-136
html
Recasting the theory of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission dynamics and control
Smith, D.L., T.A. Perkins, R.C. Reiner, C.M. Barker, T. Niu, L.F. Chaves, A.M. Ellis, D.B. George, A. Le Menach, J.R.C. Pulliam, D. Bisanzio, C. Buckee, C. Chiyaka, D.A.T. Cummings, A.J. Garcia, M.L. Gatton, P.W. Gething, D.M. Hartley, G. Johnston, E.Y. Klein, E. Michael, A.L. Lloyd, D.M. Pigott, W.K. Reisen, N. Ruktanonchai, B.K. Singh, J. Stoller, A.J. Tatem, U. Kitron, H.C.J. Godfray, J.M. Cohen, S.I Hay, T.W. Scott
Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene 108:185-197
html | pdf
Heterogeneous blood feeding patterns of Aedes aegypti in Iquitos, Peru
Liebman, K.A., S.T. Stoddard, R.C. Reiner, T.A. Perkins, H. Astete, M. Sihuincha, E.S. Halsey, T.J. Kochel, A.C. Morrison, T.W. Scott
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 8:e2702
html | pdf
2013
Heterogeneity, mixing, and the spatial scales of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission
Perkins, T.A., T.W. Scott, A. Le Menach, D.L. Smith
PLOS Computational Biology 9:e1003327
html | pdf | code
Mosquito population regulation and larval source management in heterogeneous environments
Smith, D.L., T.A. Perkins, L.S. Tusting, T.W. Scott, S.W. Lindsay
PLOS One 8:e71247
html | pdf
A systematic review of mathematical models of mosquito-borne pathogen transmission: 1970-2010
Reiner, R.C.*, T.A. Perkins*, C.M. Barker, T. Niu, L.F. Chaves, A.M. Ellis, D.B. George, A. Le Menach, J.R.C. Pulliam, D. Bisanzio, C. Buckee, C. Chiyaka, D.A.T. Cummings, A.J. Garcia, M.L. Gatton, P.W. Gething, D.M. Hartley, G. Johnston, E.Y. Klein, E. Michael, S.W. Lindsay, A.L. Lloyd, D.M. Pigott, W.K. Reisen, N. Ruktanonchai, B.K. Singh, A.J. Tatem, U. Kitron, S.I Hay, T.W. Scott, D.L. Smith
Journal of the Royal Society Interface 10:20120921
*denotes equal contributions
html | pdf
Evolution of dispersal and life history interact to drive accelerating spread of an invasive species
Perkins, T.A., B.L. Phillips, M.L. Baskett, A. Hastings
Ecology Letters 16:1079-1087
html | pdf
2012 and before
Evolutionarily labile species interactions and spatial spread of invasive species
Perkins, T.A
American Naturalist 179:E37-E54
html | pdf
Falling behind: delayed growth explains life-history variation in Snake River fall Chinook salmon
Perkins, T.A., H.I. Jager
Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 140:959-972
html | pdf
Multi-species interactions in competitive hierarchies: new methods and empirical test
Perkins, T.A., W.R. Holmes, J.F. Weltzin
Journal of Vegetation Science 18:685-692
html | pdf
Interactions between the social spider Anelosimus studiosus (Araneae, Theridiidae) and foreign spiders that frequent its nests
Perkins, T.A., S.E. Riechert, T.C. Jones
Journal of Arachnology 35:143-152
html | pdf
